As Chicago stands at a familiar crossroads, the latest Serafin Power Poll conveys a striking portrait of public sentiment. Across local leadership, public safety, global conflict, space exploration, and congressional reform, the results are clear: Chicagoans are both pragmatic and increasingly focused on whether things are actually working.

Question 1

As Chicago prepares to choose its next mayor, which leadership quality is most essential for the city’s future?

• 5% — A clear, measurable plan to improve public safety
• 32% — Proven executive competence and day to day management skills
• 8% — Integrity, transparency, and ethical steadiness
• 14% — Coalition-building across communities, business, labor, and neighborhoods
• 41% — A forward-looking economic strategy that reduces debt and drives growth and jobs

Economic direction leads the field, with 41% of respondents pointing to a forward-looking strategy focused on growth and debt reduction. Another 32% prioritize executive competence and day-to-day management. Taken together, these results signal a strong preference for leaders who can run the city effectively and deliver measurable outcomes. 

Other qualities still register, though at lower levels. Coalition building and ethical leadership remain part of the equation, but they are not driving the conversation. Public safety, often a dominant theme, ranks last here. That suggests voters may see it less as a standalone issue and more as a function of broader leadership and management. 

Question 2 

As warmer weather brings larger, difficult to manage teen gatherings to the Loop and nearby neighborhoods, what best describes your opinion of City Hall’s current approach to managing these events? 

• 3% — Generally effective and appropriate 

• 12% — Adequate but needs clearer coordination 

• 27% — Too hands off, leaving businesses and residents exposed 

• 18% — Too reactive, lacking a visible strategy 

• 41% — Not effective at all 

The response is overwhelmingly critical. A combined 68% describe the city’s approach as either ineffective or laissez faire, with 41% saying it is not effective at all. Another 27% believe the city is not sufficiently engaged. 

Very few respondents view the current strategy as working. Only 3% consider it generally effective, and just 12% say it is adequate with better coordination. The feedback points to a lack of visible planning and a sense that the city is reacting to events rather than anticipating them. 

Question 3 

Given the recent U.S.-Iran military exchanges, how concerned are you about the potential for a broader regional conflict that could increase American casualties and lead to a wider war? 

• 53% — Very concerned 

• 26% — Somewhat concerned 

• 8% — Concerned but not alarmed 

• 8% — Minimally concerned 

• 5% — Not concerned 

95% are some level of concerned about the situation in Iran; voters are paying close attention and do not view the situation as distant or contained. 

Question 4 

With NASA’s Artemis program taking off and also preparing to return astronauts to the Moon, do you believe now is the right time for the U.S. to resume human lunar travel? 

• 36% — Yes, it is a necessary step in maintaining U.S. leadership in space 

• 30% — Yes, but only if costs and timelines stay under control 

• 16% — Not sure, the timing feels early given other national priorities 

• 18% — No, resources should be focused on domestic needs first 

• 0% — No, the risks outweigh the benefits 

Support for returning to the Moon is solid but conditional. A combined 66% say yes, either outright or with the caveat that costs and timelines remain controlled. There is outright recognition of the strategic value of maintaining leadership in space. 

But 34% express hesitation or opposition, largely tied to competing domestic priorities. Notably, no respondents cite risk as the primary concern. The divide here is less about capability and more about whether now is the right moment to do this.  

Question 5 

With repeated government shutdowns, limited congressional oversight, and many members serving decades with limited accountability, do you believe it is time to impose term limits on members of Congress? 

• 40% — Yes, long tenure now undermines accountability 

• 32% — Yes, but only as part of broader institutional reforms 

• 23% — No, voters already have the power to replace members 

• 3% — No, long service strengthens institutional knowledge 

• 2% — Not sure 

Term limits are strongly supported by most, though with some nuance. A total of 72% favor limits in some form, with 40% arguing that long tenure undermines accountability and 32% supporting limits as part of broader reform. 

Opposition is present but smaller in scale.  

The Takeaway 

The throughline across these results is straightforward: voters are focused on outcomes and expect systems to work. Whether the issue is city management, international risk, or congressional structure, there is little appetite for approaches that feel unfocused or reactive. 

The Serafin Power Poll sponsored by Mercury Public Affairs captures the perspectives of regional decision-makers and thought leaders in the Chicago metropolitan area. While not a scientific survey, it offers a clear and insightful gauge of prevailing sentiments, much like a reliable weathervane tracking the direction of Chicago’s winds.